They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Political scientists Yanna Krupnikov and John Barry Ryan suggest that focusing only on the Left/Right divide in American politics is reductive. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. 450 episodes. The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. Jury Duty: Who Gets Called, And Who Actually Serves | WUNC They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. Dive in and Share your insights! At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. The crew discusses the politically thorny issue of mental acuity in an increasingly elderly U.S. government, and what Americans think about age limits for public office. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. Thats Changing. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. 'Coldest Case' review: Serial's podcast revisits a 1985 murder in FiveThirtyEight Media Bias | AllSides They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. It's easy. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. Good Sport | Podcasts | TED The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. This research library service enables you to: Search more than 2,489,000 U.S. broadcasts using closed captioning; Borrow broadcasts on DVDs; View and Cite short streamed clips; Compare and Contrast perspectives across networks, stations and time; and Place video quotes within your commentary. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. Happy holidays! 10 Wednesday AM Reads. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. 10 Wednesday AM Reads - The Big Picture Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. Almost a year after the 2020 Democratic National Convention, the crew looks back at the record number of Democrats who ran for president in 2020 and assesses where they are now. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. They consider how much. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. send a tweet. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. In this installment, civil and environmental engineer Daniel Cohan joins FiveThirtyEight's Sarah Frostenson, Maggie Koerth and Galen Druke to discuss why the blackouts occurred, where responsibility lies and how politics responds to these kinds of crises. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. Podcast Transcripts of FiveThirtyEight | Happy Scribe Find us at ThisDayPod.com. Preview of Spotify. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. heritage commons university of utah. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate. What Are The Most Vulnerable Senate Seats In 2024? | FiveThirtyEight You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. The Johnson & Johnson Pause Shows The System Is Working They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. ( Businessweek) The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views . The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. 01:00 PM. Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Google Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Politic david senak now. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? So, the usual. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. How COVID-19 Affected Tuesday's Vote l FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Transcripts by Erin Wade. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah-Jones July 30, 2021 Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. FiveThirtyEight Politics - Listen to All Episodes | News - TuneIn The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional.